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How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone

Author William Poundstone
Rating
Price1895

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase â€˜winning streaksâ€™ that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be.In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase â€˜representativenessâ€™ to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. Youâ€™ll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

Publisher Oneworld Publications UK
Publication Date 04/09/2014
Number of Pages 304
Binding Paper Back
ISBN 9781780744070
Category Psychology and Counseling

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